NFL Realignment Plan for 2002 and beyond

by Brian Hulett

(Originally written in spring 2001 when realignment details were made official; this update posted 2/22/2002 to reflect 2001 surprise teams plus coaching and personnel changes around the league.)

The deal is done.  Plans were proposed, arguments were made, compromises struck, and in the end, it all sailed through as smoothly as an Elway pass.

The 32 owners of the NFL franchises had no problem reaching agreement on the plan, once a plan had been chosen for ratification.  How easy was the final decision?  Would you believe the vote was unanimous in favor of the plan below?  These guys are generally as likely to reach full agreement as they are to change their name to "XFL."

All eight new divisions are listed below, with commentary on each division and the potential fantasy impact of the new scheduling system and realignment.  Although each team will only have six division games each season (two vs. each of the three other division opponents), it's a major factor each franchise will consider when making roster changes and guiding team philosophy in the coming years. The remainder of each team's 16-game schedule will also contain four games against the teams from a division of the other conference, as well as six games against intraconference nondivisional opponents who had a similar level of success/failure in the prior season.

AMERICAN FOOTBALL CONFERENCE

AFC East


Buffalo Bills


Miami Dolphins
 


New England Patriots


New York Jets

Those Baltimore/Indy Colts never belonged in this group anyway, if you listen to the historians.  Originally an NFL franchise that was moved into the AFC as part of a previous realignment, the Colts move to the new non-traditional AFC South, while these longtime AFL/AFC franchises battle it out.  All four are happy they no longer have to face Manning & James twice a year.

Coincidentally, the West Coast Offense has now moved into this new East, with the Bills & Jets having adapted the offense to fit their needs.  They must continue to cope with  the Dolphins' always-tough D and with Bill Belichick's defensive creativity in NE. Coming into the '01 season it looked like the Pats would be the weakest link here, but as world champs this division instead remains one of the league's toughest.

AFC North


Baltimore Ravens


Cincinnati Bengals


Cleveland Browns


Pittsburgh Steelers

Probably everyone in this new North Division is pleased with the new plan.  They are now all rid of Eddie George and Fred Taylor.  But that door swings both ways, as those two studly FF faves-when-healthy will no longer have four creampuff games against teams from Ohio.  Neither, however, will they be forced to deal with BAL & PIT defenses.

This plan does a fine job of keeping the old rivalries together.  While new rivalries had grown involving the JAX & TEN franchises, it's clear that CLE & BAL make for a great new tradition, CLE & PIT will never cease to smell like grimy football, and even the lowly Ohio squads rouse their fans and heat the blood when facing one another on the grid of battle.

AFC South


Houston Texans


Indianapolis Colts


Jacksonville Jaguars


Tennessee Titans

Here's that "non-traditional" division I spoke of earlier.  The new Texans, the relocated Colts & Titans, and the expansion JAX team come together in an interesting mix.  Will Houston fans have any desire to see their new team knock off Bud Adams' old Oilers-now-Tennesseeans?  I think so.

But pity the poor Houstonians.  They are in for a nasty ride, facing three of the league's top squads year to year.  Meanwhile Indy didn't exactly go from the frying pan into the fire, but they're not cooling on the countertop either.  This looks like a very entertaining division, although fantasy-wise not a gold mine outside of the usual suspects (George, Taylor, Manning, Edge, etc.).

On the other hand, Houston has a solid core to begin its new team, and will surprise some teams this season. As this is written, just days after the expansion draft, however, the Texans have zero talent at the "skill positions," and will be relying on rookies, deep sleepers, and possibly a couple of free agent signees. Not the recipe for fantasy football success.

AFC West


Denver Broncos


Kansas City Chiefs


Oakland Raiders


San Diego Chargers

The move of Seattle to the NFC West does little to this glorious division.  And that's the whole point.  No one wanted to break up this core of relentless enemies.  To do so would have damaged the entire league.

With major changes well underway both in KC and SD, this division is unpredictable for 2002.  If the Raiders are able to reinforce QB Rich Gannon with a talented youngster, as the Chargers have done in their Flutie/Brees rotation, this should continue to be one of the strongest divisions in football even without Jon Gruden.  And in spite of defensive strength division-wide, there'll be lots of offensive firepower all around to keep FFers focused on this foursome for quite awhile, especially if Dick Vermeil can get some quality receivers into Chiefs uniforms.

NATIONAL FOOTBALL CONFERENCE

NFC East


Dallas Cowboys


  New York Giants


Philadelphia Eagles


Washington Redskins
 

One of the few odd fits geographically in this new alignment is that of Dallas somehow being an eastern team.  But owner Jerry Jones wisely lobbied to remain in this division, as fierce rivalries must be maintained to keep the league at a fever pitch.  Other than Indianapolis in the AFC South and Miami in the AFC East, I can't nitpick over the long-needed geographical flavor of this realignment, and all three of those misplacements are easily understood.

But ah, how they will miss the Arizona Cardinals.  Ironically, it looks like the Cowboys are about to become the doormat.  They will have a hard time rebuilding against these franchises on the rise, as they wave a slow goodbye to the great Emmitt Smith and continue to search for a QB to take them deep into the new millennium.  Look for continued tough defense and ground-oriented offenses to rule this division for the most part, although Donovan McNabb and the Redskins' hire of Steve Spurrier will keep it lively enough.

NFC North


Chicago Bears


Detroit Lions


Green Bay Packers


Minnesota Vikings
 

Can you hear it?  It was a palpable sigh of relief all over the upper Midwest when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were moved to the new NFC South, leaving these storied franchises on their own.  Nobody wants to stare Warren Sapp in the face twice a year.

That by itself improves the fantasy outlook for players from all of these squads.  With the Vikings' outlook for '02 somewhat tentative without Cris Carter and Denny Green, and possibly without whatever is left of punk Randy Moss's brain, Detroit must begin to get it together under 4M (Matt Millen & Marty Mornhinweg) in order to compete with the reemerging Packers and the surprise New Monsters Of the Midway.  Having originally predicted that the Lions would dominate this division for awhile under the 4M boys, and predicting Da Bearssss would continue to stink, we are again reminded that while most teams are predictable, the door swings both ways.

NFC South


Atlanta Falcons


Carolina Panthers


New Orleans Saints


Tampa Bay Bucs
 

And so the oddest duck in the NFL, the 2001 "NFC West," is no more.  With three southern teams (two of them on the East Coast) involved, "West" was always an odd name to slap on a transcontinental grab bag of new and old teams at varying stages of competency.

This is perfect.  Remove those southern teams and get Tampa away from the Midwest.  Voila!  Now Michael Vick is the one who'll have to stare Warren Sapp in the face twice a year.  Welcome to the NFL, Michael.  Those Saints ain't what they used to be, either, assuming Jim Haslett can prove their late-season slide wasn't a case of a coach completely losing control.  This foursome is exactly what NO needed to keep up its turnaround, give the Bucs an easier track to the next level of success, and and keep the Falcons & Panthers kicking the dirt (or turf) on the sidelines for at least another year or two.

NFC West


Arizona Cardinals


  St. Louis Rams


San Francisco 49ers


Seattle Seahawks
 

Again the league's plan shows excellent sense here, with a strong team (STL) staying in a somewhat misnamed division along with up-and-coming SF and a pair of teams that could easily go either way.

The fun part fantasy-wise is that this group should produce tons of offense.  While the 49ers are doing a fine job of rebuilding on the other side of the ball, and the Rams & Seahawks are making strides too, there's no doubt that each of those three teams can slice each other's D to bits.  Look for some lovely 42-24 scores coming out of this division in 2002 and probably beyond.